## Rivian Q2 2025 Year-Over-Year Sales Outlook
**Rivian’s Q2 2025 sales are expected to decrease year over year.**
### Evidence from Recent Reports
– Rivian has **lowered its full-year 2025 delivery forecast to 40,000–46,000 vehicles**, down from a previous target of 57,000 units[1][2][4]. This reduction is directly attributed to challenging global trade conditions and supply chain issues, including problems with the Enduro motor system[1][2][4].
– In Q1 2025, Rivian delivered **8,640 vehicles**, which was notably lower than usual. The company explains that this dip partly reflects timing issues, as many vans were shipped early in Q4 2024 to bypass a supply snag, artificially lowering the Q1 2025 figure[2][4].
– Despite the single-quarter volatility, Rivian’s **yearly guidance for 2025 is lower than what was forecast and likely lower than 2024’s actual deliveries**, indicating that Q2 2025 deliveries will also likely trail their Q2 2024 numbers[1][2][4].
### Financial and Strategic Context
– Although deliveries are down, Rivian posted its second consecutive quarter of positive gross profit in Q1 2025, reflecting improved financial discipline[2][3][4].
– The company remains optimistic about the upcoming launch of its R2 model, but this is not expected to boost deliveries until later[2][4].
### Conclusion
Given the **downward revision of annual delivery targets and lower-than-usual Q1 results**, it is very likely that Rivian’s Q2 2025 sales will be **lower year over year** compared to Q2 2024. This reflects both internal supply issues and external trade headwinds that have impacted the entire EV sector[1][2][4].